How a New CBA Could Affect Mechanics of Dodgers’ Future Rosters

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(Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement/USA TODAY Sports)

With a potential collective bargaining agreement forecast to dominate baseball news over the next several days, many fans are guessing that both the free agent and trade markets may turn into a frenzy if indeed a mutual pact is reached. One key component of the agreement could be the increase of the luxury tax threshold, allowing clubs across the league to conceivably increase payroll another $11 million before being penalized with a tax. Such an addendum could certainly provide the Dodgers with a little bit more breathing room when assembling the club’s player personnel for 2017 and beyond.

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Dodgers Showing Interest in Rays’ Logan Forsythe

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(Photo Credit: Cliff McBride/Getty Images)

More speculative rumors continued to develop in the Dodgers camp on Sunday when Jon Morosi of Fox Sports leaked that the club has expressed interest in Tampa Bay infielder Logan Forsythe.

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Dodgers’ Calhoun Could Be on Fast Track to Majors

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(Photo Credit: Jeremy Davis)

It may not happen very early in the year, but considering how Dodgers‘ prospect Willie Calhoun has stepped up to the plate amid his most recent opportunities to showcase his skills, don’t be surprised if the freshly turned 22-year-old California native gets a call to the bigs at some point during the 2017 season.

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Record Year

“Quarter notes and Hank’s half time
Are poundin’ on this heart of mine
Song to song, I pass my time
With these speakers on ten”

~Eric Church

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NLCS Game Six-Clayton Kershaw and Kenley Jansen-Los Angeles Dodgers vs Chicago Cubs Saturday, October 22, 2016 at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois. Photo by Jon SooHoo/©Los Angeles Dodgers,LLC 2016

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A Very Preliminary Guess at the Dodgers’ 2017 Starting Rotation

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Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez/USA TODAY Sports

With the way the injury bug devastatingly ripped into the Dodgers‘ 2016 pitching staff, it’s almost futile to even make a generalized guess at a working rotation before the winter months fall upon us. However, just for the sake of having a starting point and an impetus into November, we thought a cursory list may be worthwhile if only to create a perspective for discussion during the Hot Stove season.

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Dodgers Begin Offseason with Many Positive Vibes

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Los Angeles Dodgers shortstop Corey Seager, left, is congratulated by manager Dave Roberts after hitting a solo home run during the seventh inning of a baseball game against the St. Louis Cardinals in Los Angeles. (AP Photo/Mark J. Terrill)

Thanks to two timely awards handed out by the Sporting News and a few motivating words delivered by boss Andrew Friedman on Monday, any lingering feelings of disappointment among Dodgers fans from the NLCS defeat almost fizzled completely, welcoming a positive wave of optimism as the winter months roll in.

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Dodgers Management: The Differences Between Friedman and Colletti

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Los Angeles Dodgers manager Don Mattingly talks to general manager Ned Colletti during a spring training baseball workout Wednesday, Feb. 23, 2011, in Glendale, Ariz. (AP Photo/Morry Gash)
(Photo Credit: Hans Gutknecht)

While the Los Angeles Dodgers decided to embark on a brand new front office structure during the winter of 2014, the game of baseball itself was experiencing an evolution of sorts, as the national pastime began morphing into a game of numbers, analytics and financial management as opposed to seeing the most dominant clubs succeed with intangible qualities like grit, wit and desire.

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How the Dodgers Front Office Got Three Steps Ahead of Their Fans

Corey Seager takes batting practice at Petco Park.
Corey Seager takes batting practice at Petco Park.

Ned Colletti. See? Two words in and you, as a Dodgers fan, are feeling some type of way. The Dodgers under Colletti spent lavishly, made blockbuster trades, and threw their financial muster around at anyone and anything that would receive great public approval. How many World Series titles did the Dodgers claim? Oh that’s right. None. They didn’t even reach the World Series. While the Dodgers were spinning their wheels, Andrew Friedman and the Rays were popping bottles after 162 games.

The 2010 Dodgers roster featured names like Clayton Kershaw, Hiroki Kuroda, Vicente Padilla (and the surprising success of the soap bubble), Russell Martin, Casey Blake, Rafael Furcal, Garret Anderson, Matt Kemp (in his prime), and Manny Ramirez. Many of those names were considered premier talent in the league. Where did that team finish? 80-82, fourth place in the National League West.

The 2011 and 2012 Dodgers campaigns also failed to make the playoffs.

While the Dodgers failed to make the playoffs in 2010 and 2011 with a payroll north of $100 million, the Tampa Bay Rays made the playoffs in both seasons with a payroll checking in around $77 million in both seasons.

Now why did I spend the first four paragraphs laying all this out? Not just to calm you down from mentioning that name at the beginning of this piece, but also to provide apparently desperately needed perspective as this offseason trudges along without blockbuster Dodgers news.

Hiring a President of Baseball Operations like Friedman was the writing on the wall for many educated baseball observers, signaling the beginning of the inevitable. The Dodgers simply couldn’t spend close to $300 million per season chasing after a World Series. The first two seasons under the new ownership were a showcase, a promise to Dodgers fans that their complaints are heard, and better things were awaiting in the ashes of a nasty divorce.

While Dodgers fans have watched one of the most star-studded free agent markets in recent memory with longing eyes, that sneaky front office went behind their backs, and slowly, methodically, built the farm system with shrewd trades.

This is a new type of Dodgers baseball, and not the type sports writers want to see because the Hollywood storylines are much harder to come by. However, the front office has set up the franchise for years of competitive, and downright cheap talent. Cubans like Yusniel Diaz, Omar Estevez, and Pablo Millan Fernandez are cheap compared to the average Major League Baseball big name free agent, and the youth in farm system has astronomical, controllable potentialFor example, Joc Pederson won’t even be eligible for arbitration until 2018 (according to Spotrac.com). Prized pitching prospect Julio Urias, Jose de Leon, 2016 projected starting shortstop Corey Seager, and Puig all have years of control remaining on their contracts, with very high ceilings.

Signing the likes of David Price, Jordan Zimmerman, Johnny Cueto, and yeah even Zack Greinke would have only blocked the talent that is soon to be contributing at the Major League level. A 3-year deal for Scott Kazmir and an 8-year, incentive laden deal for Kenta Maeda are brilliant moves to mitigate overall cost while providing flex and trade value.

Don Mattingly is gone, fittingly to a team with its own set of problems. New manager (Dave Roberts), new look, same Dodgers success.

Patience. The agony of a boring offseason will be worth all the postseason glory. The Dodgers will make the 2016 MLB playoffs, and you’ll be right there, cheering them on. Think Blue Planning Committee will be cheering them on too, in between diving into your January Facebook posts to make fun of you for crying now and high-fiving in October.

Los Angeles Dodgers 25-Man Roster: 2015 Holiday Edition

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As we approach Christmas weekend, everyone here at TBPC chose to put together a fun, quick post about the Los Angeles Dodgers that really wouldn’t take a ton of work or research.

We decided on taking a look at the 25-man roster as if the season began today — basically just to illustrate how much work actually remains before pitchers and catchers report on February 19.

A few things to note before we begin: we did include Yasmani Grandal and Justin Turner, assuming they make clean recoveries and are 100% healthy by spring training. We did not, however, include Hyun-jin Ryu. Currently, all signs point to him being on schedule, but there are just too many factors at this point to pencil him into the starting rotation.

So with no further ado, here’s how we broke down our version of the 25-man at this juncture of the offseason (and it wasn’t really fun or quick, by the way):

Outfielders (5) – Andre Ethier, Joc Pederson, Yasiel Puig, Carl Crawford and Scott Van Slyke

Infielders (6) – Justin Turner, Corey Seager, Chase Utley, Adrian Gonzalez, Enrique Hernandez and Alex Guerrero

Catchers (2) – Yasmani Grandal and A.J. Ellis

Starting Pitchers (5) – Clayton Kershaw, Brett Anderson, Alex Wood, Mike Bolsinger and Carlos Frias

Bullpen (7) – Kenley Jansen, Chris Hatcher, Pedro Baez,  J.P. Howell, Luis Avilan, Yimi Garcia and Adam Liberatore

Of course, the most glaring concern is the starting rotation. There’s no need to panic just yet, because additions will be made and there’s still plenty of time. January 8 is an important date to remember, as Kenta Maeda‘s camp will have arrived at a contract decision by day’s end. And it’s also safe to speculate that at least one other starter will be added via trade or free agency, giving Frias the ability to slide back into the swingman role.

A strong and healthy Ryu would also fill a slot, but it’s just not safe to hope and wait for that length of time.

It’s very much worth noting that the two most talented pitchers in the entire organization not named Kershaw, José De León and Julio Urias, aren’t even a part of the 40-man roster just yet. Look for that to change as Opening Day approaches — unless some type of impact trade occurs and surprises everyone.

Another area of concern is the bullpen, which right now looks the same as last year, sans Juan Nicasio and Jim Johnson. This seems to be a priority for Andrew Friedman as well, as made evident by the attempt to bring aboard Aroldis Chapman. There are a few other options in-house, as players such as Frankie Montas, Jharel Cotton, Chris Anderson, Josh Ravin and Ian Thomas are waiting in the wings.

With the exception of the Alex Guerrero situation, the infield may hold up just fine barring any type of injury epidemic. Ronald Torreyes waits at Triple-A to provide any required cover at second, third or short. Micah Johnson, Charlie Culberson and Austin Barnes could provide additional depth, if needed.

Trayce Thompson was acquired to provide complimentary depth at all three outfield spots, but it’s inconceivable to think that the Dodgers will carry six outfielders. It’s easy to speculate that somebody could be moved in some type of trade for a much needed starting pitcher or bullpen piece.

One additional area of concern is the lack of the traditional leadoff batter. Pederson’s strikeout rate is way too high for him to maintain a high OBP. Other options here are limited, but may include Hernandez or Puig, being that the sabermetric philosophy of Friedman doesn’t put a high value on stolen bases.

All that being said, there’s still a multitude of work remaining for the front office. Hopefully Farhan Zaidi and Friedman come fresh out of the gates after the New Year, and finish molding the roster with high hopes, expectations and the talent to contend in 2016.

(Photo Credit: Joe Hamilton)