How High Is Gavin Lux’s Ceiling?

No doubt, the 413-foot bomb that Gavin Lux launched in the eighth inning of Tuesday night’s victory was one of the most clutch moments the team has seen in weeks. While there have been a few other bright spots here and there offensively, the Dodgers just might find a way to put together a string of success should more of these huge plays occur in critical moments.

Lux in this role is interesting because he’s probably one of the least expected to perform these types of heroics, especially when considering his start to the 2021 season. Once ranked as the organization’s top prospect, several issues kept him off the big-league diamond last year until late August. When he finally arrived in 2020, he ended up hitting just .175/.246/.349 for the year with three homers over 63 AB in 19 games.

Prior to Tuesday’s opener against the Mariners, Lux was slashing .209/.247/.267 with no homers in 86 AB this year. Undeniably, moments like his go-ahead blast are not just huge for the team, but they’re also paramount in building a player’s confidence. Maybe his home run on Tuesday was one of those confidence builders.

When thinking about the future of Lux, one can’t help but consider what could potentially happen with Corey Seager. If Seager ends up in a different uniform next season, some fans feel that Lux might have a shot at an everyday shortstop role. Should Seager return, perhaps Lux might settle in as the regular second baseman, something the team hasn’t really had since the days of Chase Utley in 2016-17.

However, before we look too far ahead, Lux will most definitely need to prove his value before he’s considered as a long-term solution in the middle infield.

I’m not normally a huge fan of pre-season projections, but I still like to look at them to generate at least an idea as to how a player is perceived by a computer. Entering this year, ZiPS had Lux pegged to hit .246/.304/.446 with 16 doubles, six triples, 17 long balls, and 65 RBI. Those are not overwhelming numbers by any means—especially for a former Rookie of the Year favorite—but I’d bet if you’d ask Dodgers’ management if they’d take that production from Lux by season’s end, the answer would be an astounding “yes.”

The bigger question is whether those types of averages would warrant him everyday playing time over the next several years.

Sometimes, trying to determine if a prospect might be successful in the majors is a complete crapshoot. We see first-round blue chippers who are never able to figure out an MLB slider. Conversely, we see undrafted free agents latch on somewhere only to produce big league careers that last years.

Contrary to popular belief, second base is a crowded spot right now in the Los Angeles organization. Down on the farm, there are guys like Michael Busch, Omar Estevez, and Jacob Amaya who show promise, but none of them have the well-rounded tools of Lux. Busch might be a better all-around hitter, but many feel he’s lacking in the glove and hands department. Estevez is viewed as a potential defensive wizard, but his production at the plate is less than desired, even in the minors.

At the major league level, in addition to Lux’s 23 appearances there, we’ve seen Zach McKinstry, Max Muncy, Chris Taylor, and Sheldon Neuse all log time there. Austin Barnes has even made three appearances at the keystone.

The fact that skipper Dave Roberts continues to award Lux the lion’s share of time at second base emphasizes the team’s commitment to giving the youngster an extended opportunity to prove his value. No question, based on the tools we’ve seen, Lux perhaps has the highest ceiling of all the prospective second basemen in the system. Whether he’s able to maximize his tools and potential down the road, though, is an entirely different story.

Is There Any Relief in Sight for a Struggling Bullpen?

(Rob Schumacher/The Arizona Republic via USA TODAY NETWORK)

Perhaps the funniest thing about the Dodgers’ victory over the Angels on Saturday night was the notion that most fans out there, as well as the players, coaching staff, and management, were hoping to add a few insurance runs late in the game after putting a whopping 13 runs on the board early.

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Dodgers Injury Notes: Cody Bellinger, Zach McKinstry, Tony Gonsolin, More


With the Dodgers now having dropped 14 of their last 18 games, many fans continue to point their fingers at injuries for being the primary culprit of the club’s current stretch of woes. All the depth the organization has been flaunting for years doesn’t seem to be helping in the least right now, as the team is looking for just a single win or two with hopes of building some type of momentum.

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Oklahoma City Dodgers Announce Opening Day Roster

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(Norm Hall/Getty Images)

I can’t speak for all baseball fans out there, but I think I’m quite accurate in saying that most of them are welcoming the return of minor league baseball with open arms. Minor league play is important on so many different levels. Not only is it an economical venue for some folks who may not otherwise be able to attend an MLB game, but it is also critical for the development of younger players.

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Early Thoughts on Dustin May Injury

(Orlando Ramirez/USA TODAY Sports)

As if the injury picture for the Los Angeles Dodgers wasn’t already bad enough, things got much worse when righty starting pitcher Dustin May left Saturday’s game against the Brewers with an apparent right arm injury.

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How Lack of Run Support Indirectly Affects Dodgers’ Starting Pitching

(AP Photo/Ross D. Franklin)

A slumping offense can affect the performance of a team in more ways than one, especially from a psychological angle. On Thursday, we saw the Dodgers push one run across the plate in the opener against the Brewers, spoiling a complete-game effort from starter Trevor Bauer. It wasn’t Bauer’s most brilliant endeavor with regards to strikeouts or runs surrendered, but he gave his club exactly what it needed in terms of bullpen conservation.

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At What Point Should Dodgers Seek Bullpen Help?

(AP Photo/Sue Ogrocki)

At their best point in early April, the Los Angeles Dodgers appeared to be a well-oiled machine on its way to yet another deep postseason run. At their worst point later in the month, the team seems to need a boost in a multitude of areas.

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Dodgers Make Flurry of Roster Moves Ahead of Cincinnati Series

(Jon SooHoo/Los Angeles Dodgers)

The Los Angeles Dodgers made a series of moves ahead of the opener against the Reds on Monday, activating infielder Gavin Lux and right-handed pitcher Dennis Santana from the injured list. The team also recalled right-handed pitcher Mitch White from the alternate site.

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Dodgers Injury Notes: Joe Kelly, Gavin Lux, Corey Knebel, More

(Photo by Norm Hall/Getty Images)

Without question, injuries continue to hammer the heart of the Los Angeles Dodgers active roster. During most seasons, we’ll put together an injury report once or twice per month, but current times are calling for a thorough update almost weekly.

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Is Outfield Depth a Problem for Dodgers?

(Rob Tringali/Getty Images)

At the beginning of the season, hardly anyone imagined that the organizational outfield depth of the Los Angeles Dodgers would be under such high scrutiny.

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